B. Pospelov, E. Rybka, M. Samoylov, Y. Bezuhla, O. Yashchenko, Yu. Veretennikova. Method of preventing emergencies due to fire through short-term fire forecasting. P. 295-308.

 

 

Method of preventing emergencies due to fire through short-term fire forecasting

 

Boris Pospelov

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0957-3839

 

Evgenіy Rybka

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5396-5151

 

Mikhail Samoylov

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8924-7944

 

Yuliia Bezuhla

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4022-2807

 

Oleksandr Yashchenko

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7129-389X

 

Yuliia Veretennikova

Kharkiv National University of Construction and Architecture

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0245-704X

 

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2021-34-21

 

Keywords: fire, dynamics, recurrence of state growing, dangerous factors, air environment, recurrent diagram

 

Аnnotation

 

A parametric model for predicting the current recurrence of the state of the airspace of premises in the conditions that are characteristic of real premises on the basis of the use of an arbitrary plural of dangerous factors of fire. The developed model depends on two parameters that are defined by a priori and affect the result of the recurrence of the recurrence of the conditions of the airspace of the premises. The new scientific result is determined by the theoretical substantiation of the developed model of prediction of recurrence of the growth of the airspaces of the airspace. The proposed model has two properties. The first one is associated with the possibility of use in theoretical studies of the detection of early inflammation of various materials in arbitrary conditions of modern premises. The second one is to practice the real measurements of hazardous fire factors of the airspace of premises. In accordance with the proposed model of prediction of current recurrence of the state of the air environment of premises in the fire of materials based on the measurement of an arbitrary set of dangerous fire factors, a control algorithm of the method of prevention of emergency situations as a result of fires in premises is developed. The control algorithm consists of six successive functionally linked blocks. The developed control algorithm allows us to offer an appropriate method for preventing emergencies as a result of fire in premises by predicting the recurrence of appliance of the airspace of the premises, which occurs on the basis of the current discrete measurement of an arbitrary plurality of dangerous fire factors. The procedure for application of the proposed method includes six successive functional procedural elements.

 

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